17 9 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1218 -132 Strength Momentum |
1070 65.7(2) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at Del Norte | 0.000 | 784 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1420 | 90% | |
08/26/15 | Rio Rancho !! | 0.004 | 1418 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1358 | 29% | |
08/29/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.005 | 1338 | W 4- 0 | Better (+5) | 1469 | 37% | |
09/02/15 | at Eldorado | 0.014 | 1070 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1204 | 67% | |
09/04/15 | Albuquerque Academy ! | 0.016 | 1387 | W 3- 0 | Better (+4) | 1443 | 30% | |
09/09/15 | at Albuquerque ?? | 0.035 | 1399 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1167 | 26% | |
09/15/15 | Cibola | 0.087 | 1414 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1257 | 29% | |
09/18/15 | at Mayfield | 0.113 | 1051 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1244 | 67% | |
09/19/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.145 | 1261 | T 0- 0 | Better (+1) | 1249 | 42% | |
09/24/15 | Manzano | 0.203 | 886 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1193 | 86% | |
09/29/15 | at Highland | 0.134 | 845 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1345 | 86% | |
10/01/15 | at Eldorado | 0.379 | 1070 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1254 | 67% | |
10/02/15 | at St. Pius | 0.352 | 1010 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1274 | 73% | |
10/06/15 | Sandia | 0.560 | 1114 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1256 | 66% | |
10/13/15 | at Manzano | 0.400 | 886 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1314 | 83% | |
10/15/15 | Highland | 0.821 | 845 | W 5- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1122 | 88% | |
10/21/15 | Eldorado | 0.919 | 1070 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1235 | 71% | |
10/22/15 | at Sandia | 0.949 | 1114 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1225 | 62% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals La Cueva actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1070, while
La Cueva's "weighted playing strength" is 1230
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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